TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90e9…de83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.9%+$14.22
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$34.25
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.63
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.07
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Scorigami in NFL Week 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Scorigami in NFL Week 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Scorigami in NFL Week 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.3%+$6
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5.34
Scorigami in NFL Week 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Scorigami in NFL Week 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.39
Scorigami in NFL Week 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Christian McCaffrey play in Week 1 for the 49ers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$85.43
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+1,349.3%+$279.3
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.33
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$23.31
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$19.28
Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+87.8%+$14.22
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$93.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$68.75
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$56
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+37%+$39.94
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$11.39
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$47.5
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+150%+$18
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.4
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$10.43
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$17.1
Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.82
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+52.3%+$54.8
Will Trump make English the national language?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+96.9%+$12.29
Trump transgender sports ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+150%+$45
Trump positive favorability on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+68.9%+$40.8
Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$102.6
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51.98
Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$37.6
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$16.58
Will Trump nominate Robert O'Brien for Secretary of State?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+100%+$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Saturn" by SZA win Best R&B Song?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will someone else be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$63.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.14
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$48
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$16
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$9.6
Will Benson Kipruto (KEN) win gold in the Men’s Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+111.9%+$202.53
Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+488.2%+$132.8
Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 200m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT+144.1%+$103
Will USA win Gold in Men's 4x100m Freestyle Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+137.6%+$341.7
Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+26.6%+$27.3
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+116.5%+$134.5
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$49
Jordan Bardella next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$56
Marine Le Pen next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-68%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+226.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+86.8%+$97.55
Brewers vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$213.46
Will USC beat Utah State?backed Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$140.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118.5%+$114.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$59.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PGA Championship: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.