Music · resolved market
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39da3f71125d590dd4fb55b2df552be7d129252224cb2c33c7dc69b58c56f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 68c | 12,159$8,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,306.27 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 30c | 8,033$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 68c | 6,704$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 31c | 3,961$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Yes | 72c | 3,744$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 67c | 3,390$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…c73dbacked No | 30c | 2,938$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Yes | 70c | 2,938$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…1011backed Yes | 72c | 2,769$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…10d0backed No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 32c | 2,410$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.76 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 55c | 2,322$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…5b63backed No | 44c | 2,295$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 28c | 2,234$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 58c | 2,184$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 2,143$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.56 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Yes | 64c | 1,935$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…efd3backed No | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 1,504$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5dd7backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…ac1fbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…bb14backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…37bebacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4be…d443backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…5b68backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1d04backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…e297backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…3629backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f39…dabcbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 47c | 1,465$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 40c | 1,438$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 63c | 1,417$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…383cbacked No | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9be3backed No | 60c | 1,392$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 31c | 1,305$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f5efbacked Yes | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 46c | 1,244$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.21 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…c8acbacked Yes | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…931ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,195$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 45c | 1,190$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…8820backed Yes | 36c | 1,146$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 70c | 1,132$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 67c | 1,126$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…80c0backed Yes | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 36c | 1,074$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…131cbacked Yes | 64c | 991.88$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 29c | 946$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.6 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 929.98$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…94f8backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 62c | 888.6$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 29c | 883$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 34c | 800$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…3ac3backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…5b15backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…83f2backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83f…58fcbacked Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…c3b6backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b7f4backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…e1d4backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…d1dabacked Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…4461backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…0510backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…1244backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 761.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…d8b5backed Yes | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…bb53backed Yes | 68c | 734.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…01a3backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8ed7backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…7f0dbacked Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…1c4ebacked Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1d…2840backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…d9e7backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4be4backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…b224backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…7f59backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…fbe4backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 74c | 673.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 71c | 666$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…563dbacked Yes | 40c | 662.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…1331backed Yes | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 53c | 645.56$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.37 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 35c | 638.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…e9bcbacked Yes | 63c | 633.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed No | 32c | 630.1$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 38c | 550$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 65c | 540.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 57c | 528.06$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed No | 36c | 456.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 63c | 395.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 40c | 394.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 30c | 380$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 42c | 374.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 27c | 364.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 38c | 359.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +244.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 71c | 352$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 31c | 336.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 42c | 314.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?this page
- Will 'A Bar Song (Tipsy)' win Song of the Year?No won
- Will 'Die With A Smile' win Song of the Year?No won
- Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?No won
- Will 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Song of the Year?No won
- Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?Yes won
- Will 'Please Please Please' win Song of the Year?No won
- Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Song of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.