TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0f9…f569

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,443.52
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+520.9%+$2,601.2
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.98
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.96
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,228.61
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,941.99
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$66.3
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.1
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.86
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$946
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$918
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5.25
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,091.97
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,071
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,365.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$2.75
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Maxime Janvierbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rider Broncs vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,660
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,238.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.