TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,814,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,174,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,814,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Nets18c322,695$58,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,703.118037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets18c131,027$23,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,371.5251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves9c70,259$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,222.2625925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves72c58,479$42,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,162.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves29c36,851$10,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,522.481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets73c36,765$26,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,802.931,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets17c34,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,159.9135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves58c30,267$17,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,636.961,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves5c29,393$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves58c28,219$16,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,376.111,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves45c27,694$12,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,520.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c3…1fefbacked Nets74c24,711$18,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Nets17c20,588$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,088.245947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Nets17c20,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,60023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves23c18,300$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.081,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets18c17,779$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,579.1648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets20c17,269$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,815.2236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets16c17,176$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,428.187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets47c15,383$7,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,203.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves80c15,244$12,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,193.1344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Nets18c15,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3508827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets17c13,400$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,103.8561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves80c11,883$9,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,506.413455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Nets17c11,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,129.9614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets21c10,999$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Timberwolves80c10,200$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,16019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Timberwolves79c9,660$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,631.2812843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets47c7,706$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves66c7,044$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets20c7,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Nets14c7,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Nets46c6,845$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,726.2744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves9c6,165$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.131,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Timberwolves16c5,660$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.1134227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets22c5,221$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.7514254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets18c5,018$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.71,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets20c4,017$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.9147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves80c3,839$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Timberwolves9c3,409$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets18c3,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.3346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…b60dbacked Nets17c3,330$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Nets19c3,156$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.525433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Nets17c3,040$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.9954838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fc…823cbacked Timberwolves73c3,015$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.151921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.34per pick55cpaid-54.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Timberwolves1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves13c2,976$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Nets34c2,925$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.719843.9%43 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nets65c2,913$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.3934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves2c2,834$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.028820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6950…86a1backed Nets74c2,611$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.664257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Timberwolves71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.995259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Nets19c2,400$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.921538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Timberwolves42c2,347$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.4127144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Timberwolves47c2,330$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.6961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Timberwolves31c2,327$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7311258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves80c2,251$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Nets17c2,059$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.8235531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Nets20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Nets21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fb…702ebacked Nets20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6006758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2c…2e01backed Nets17c2,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+96.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Timberwolves49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9916052.5%84 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nets29c1,842$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.9148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nets15c1,800$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves24c1,731$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.722,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb780…8e44backed Nets17c1,700$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+90.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Nets46c1,621$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6229037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Nets18c1,556$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.5616136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Nets19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.213950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Nets21c1,500$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18418440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Timberwolves8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nets17c1,500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26aa…026cbacked Timberwolves13c1,496$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.219843.9%43 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Nets19c1,489$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.4719144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Nets19c1,452$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.699552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd341…3662backed Nets21c1,428$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.151850%9 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+120.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3614…0468backed Nets22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+149.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3306…f442backed Timberwolves79c1,364$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Nets15c1,249$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.6526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Nets39c1,214$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73725146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Timberwolves79c1,201$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.3360549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Timberwolves52c1,200$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62610837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves7c1,177$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7267911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Nets52c1,153$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.4147949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves43c1,142$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.091,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0f…45c3backed Nets44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.36875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Nets30c1,121$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.393450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x697d…985dbacked Nets19c1,100$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Nets16c1,061$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.2812533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Timberwolves3c1,036$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Nets17c1,001$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8263735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…2e1fbacked Timberwolves10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Timberwolves80c952$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.612646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Timberwolves47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42321923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…55aebacked Timberwolves57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.