TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under47c63,874$30,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,021.3717031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over54c18,289$9,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,412.761,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c11,000$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4701,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Under50c10,000$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9974544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c10,000$5,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9702,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c9,981$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under10c9,621$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over50c8,606$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.5974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,353$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c5,200$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Over54c5,024$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.076256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd923…a13fbacked Under50c4,574$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba0…3153backed Under49c4,181$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c3,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over50c2,523$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c2,438$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.622,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c2,282$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1412,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9809451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over50c1,673$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over53c1,599$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5965339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over50c1,245$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.627735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over52c1,213$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.2411243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over54c1,087$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over50c1,061$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.417250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,017$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…4362backed Over52c636$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.282060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32e0…390abacked Under48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over54c574.07$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c499$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over54c486$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.561,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over54c445.28$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over52c420.95$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.065750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3715543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.622138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c307.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.582,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14772647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over52c213.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…6785backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0816852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c180.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8619552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.071,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.56045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4974547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c63.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under50c49.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.629050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.720456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over50c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c42.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.328856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Under50c39.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5631250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5627251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5627353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…9dcebacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x43f7…8da2backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over54c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.428755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under50c24.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.318744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.666346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c20.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c20.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0eb…2d82backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.