NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316bffe09baa99006f79b7608907d54dfbdf2735f72094e839157abf332a736b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 21,504$10,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,073.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 53c | 11,777$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.05 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 52c | 10,382$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 13c | 8,310$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…4ca2backed Under | 51c | 7,833$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 55c | 5,389$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.81 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 5,253$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…a13fbacked Under | 52c | 4,706$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked Over | 48c | 4,177$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 3,817$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.21 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,714$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.85 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 13c | 1,504$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,403$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,061$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 48c | 965$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 800.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 497.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 433.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Over | 49c | 408.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 349$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 343$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Over | 48c | 284.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 13c | 236.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 161.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 53c | 134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 48c | 93.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 59.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Under | 31c | 42.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 48c | 39.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 35c | 32.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 52c | 30.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. TimberwolvesNets won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.