NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae09aac8a71d9c4fbe519f7422146b3465e98423bd02f7048dfb034a966c462b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 59c | 3,717$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 3,386$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 31c | 3,166$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 3,162$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 8c | 1,180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1967backed Under | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 625.74$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 443$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed Over | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 39c | 373.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.07 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Under | 61c | 329.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Over | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 31c | 188$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…d049backed Under | 58c | 172.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 153.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…960bbacked Over | 42c | 127.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 59c | 117.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…6785backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…5341backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6d…d25abacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 61c | 99.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 45c | 93.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 18c | 77.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 67.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Under | 38c | 54.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…f990backed Over | 41c | 24.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. TimberwolvesNets won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.