TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe36a…d049

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST9550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150.96
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$143.1
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$168
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$174
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+83.3%+$83.35
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST9052.2%47 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$39.87
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$107.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$59.63
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38.93
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$73.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$47.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.