NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa31bee75dfc845915ebb53b6a739bbe5d206af1731e5e70180545d246e2c269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Flames, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Canadiens | 58c | 115,372$66,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,456.31 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 44c | 99,331$43,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,359.13 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Flames | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Flames | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Flames | 43c | 49,991$21,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,496.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 42c | 39,352$16,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,528 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 57c | 27,999$16,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,980.83 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 57c | 22,395$12,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615.14 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 20,262$11,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 56c | 18,080$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,955.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 57c | 10,772$6,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.93 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Flames | 1c | 8,898$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canadiens | 56c | 8,755$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.2 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 42c | 8,333$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.91 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 0c | 7,076$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 58c | 7,000$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Canadiens | 56c | 6,750$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 42c | 6,500$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.19 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 6,436$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 56c | 6,170$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.95 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 41c | 6,007$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.62 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Canadiens | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 44c | 5,729$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.79 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Canadiens | 57c | 5,337$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.09 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flames | 3c | 5,056$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 56c | 4,368$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.84 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Canadiens | 57c | 4,233$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.12 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 0c | 3,941$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Flames | 3c | 3,657$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 42c | 3,643$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Canadiens | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Canadiens | 56c | 3,567$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.34 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 44c | 3,429$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.77 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Canadiens | 58c | 3,355$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.06 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Canadiens | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 21c | 2,871$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.29 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Canadiens | 58c | 2,659$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.56 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,656$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Canadiens | 57c | 2,581$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.24 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 58c | 2,346$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.97 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 42c | 2,306$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.46 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 42c | 2,291$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Canadiens | 57c | 2,240$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,200$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 2c | 1,982$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,667$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Flames | 42c | 1,650$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Flames | 44c | 1,581$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.66 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 41c | 1,480$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,419$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.17 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,408$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.65 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flames | 42c | 1,223$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,222$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,165$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Flames | 14c | 1,118$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Flames | 44c | 1,111$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.81 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,079$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.94 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 57c | 999.95$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Canadiens | 56c | 988.03$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.73 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Flames | 43c | 929.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 899.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 19c | 884.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 15c | 836.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canadiens | 57c | 784.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…d421backed Flames | 42c | 746.1$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…d36cbacked Canadiens | 58c | 741$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…9e79backed Flames | 9c | 714.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flames | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…961ebacked Flames | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Canadiens | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Flames | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Flames | 5c | 692.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Flames | 29c | 685$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Flames | 21c | 620.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Canadiens | 57c | 612.82$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…bed3backed Flames | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Canadiens | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Canadiens | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flames | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 42c | 499.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…e874backed Canadiens | 58c | 475.6$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…2379backed Flames | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…090bbacked Flames | 43c | 397.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Flames | 44c | 384.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 40c | 375.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…6661backed Flames | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Canadiensthis page
- Flames vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.