TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1377…56ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST7447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,220.99
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$611.43
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,400
Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$201.4
Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$399.5
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$700
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$600
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Pacers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300.08
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$700
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300.8
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$600
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$334.5
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$249.6
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$327.93
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$153.6
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+100%+$550
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$703.8
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$399.9
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$201.5
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$239.7
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$306.4
Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$597.44
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$350
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$374.4
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$1,208.9
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$141.71
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.9%+$334.1
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$267.89
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$398.25
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.39
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$296.39
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$297
Will Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$296.01
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$94.6
Will Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Pisa SC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300.05
Will US Lecce vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$299.63
Will AC Milan vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$293.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+669.2%+$3,653.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+400%+$352.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$494.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$178.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.