NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd581eac1e23d4961613034f3d211ee1178eef728542ad61787af51adb9a74205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 47c | 166,357$78,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,188.02 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 53c | 42,772$22,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,150.44 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lakers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Lakers | 53c | 29,593$15,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,908.71 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 53c | 18,866$9,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.51 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Lakers | 53c | 18,861$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,864.59 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 47c | 15,898$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,522.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 47c | 12,317$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.1 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Lakers | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Clippers | 49c | 6,666$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.66 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Clippers | 49c | 5,100$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.96 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 46c | 4,857$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 53c | 4,545$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…f893backed Clippers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…31d0backed Lakers | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Clippers | 46c | 3,900$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Lakers | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Clippers | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Lakers | 54c | 3,428$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.06 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,902$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 48c | 2,507$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,301$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.52 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Lakers | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…6b06backed Clippers | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.07 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 66c | 1,867$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 53c | 1,632$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…975abacked Clippers | 47c | 1,630$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…ac1cbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 48c | 1,350$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,318$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.46 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Lakers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.77 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…904abacked Lakers | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Lakers | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…ec63backed Lakers | 54c | 950$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Clippers | 45c | 899.98$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Clippers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 46c | 745.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 50c | 653.38$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers | 44c | 599.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Lakers | 52c | 594.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Lakers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Lakers | 53c | 561.36$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clippers | 47c | 525.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 49c | 510$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Lakers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Clippers | 48c | 484$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Lakers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Lakers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clippers | 46c | 388$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Lakers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Lakers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers | 45c | 276$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Lakers | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…b2b5backed Clippers | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 48c | 225.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Lakers | 56c | 221.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…1580backed Clippers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Clippers | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…a951backed Lakers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…975cbacked Clippers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Clippers | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…9f66backed Lakers | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…0573backed Clippers | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers | 54c | 181.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Lakers | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Lakers | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Lakers | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Clippers | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Clippers | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 27c | 153$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 47c | 139.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Lakers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Lakers | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Clippers | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 47c | 103.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Clippers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…d3e9backed Clippers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3b03backed Lakers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Lakers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 47c | 96.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Lakers | 55c | 92.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Lakers | 53c | 82.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Lakers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Clippers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Clippers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.