TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cf0…de6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.29
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$281.79
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$315.38
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.32
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.33
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.46
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.85
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.58
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.86
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.52
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+150%+$75.36
Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.8%+$177.59
Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Sabres vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$151.67
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Predators vs. Red Wingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$294.99
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$252
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Bruins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$79.53
Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.73
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$173.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.28
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+488.2%+$498
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$249.9
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$136.8
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$104.5
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$83.2
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$42.19
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$199.89
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$83.65
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$141
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$190.4
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.85
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.69
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$187.47
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osakabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick24cpaid+139.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.52
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$86.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+809.1%+$178
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$171.11
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+900%+$220.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$85.96
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.01
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$207.08
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$127.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$171.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$98.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$69.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.