NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906ddff84f195b2e27e54c7530ebdbf97f642c5acdedbea8504a6fabe443a59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights | 31c | 95,661$29,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,654.8 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 69c | 94,271$65,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,921.98 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Senators | 39c | 79,000$30,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,289.45 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.95 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…11fdbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 14,600$10,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…2c64backed Senators | 30c | 14,600$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 31c | 13,386$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.56 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Senators | 39c | 12,595$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,682.67 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 24c | 10,532$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.47 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Senators | 39c | 10,201$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,242.93 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 41c | 6,248$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.69 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 5,605$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.16 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 5,153$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,774$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 38c | 3,477$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 52c | 3,384$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.81 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,208$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 2,938$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.61 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 2,916$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 61c | 2,764$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.28 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Golden Knights | 42c | 2,516$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 61c | 2,468$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.4 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 39c | 2,225$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.17 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 38c | 2,209$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.46 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 45c | 2,180$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 2,074$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.43 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…1c2ebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Senators | 38c | 1,966$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.79 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,929$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.59 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Senators | 38c | 1,890$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.8 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Senators | 38c | 1,868$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.42 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 37c | 1,776$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.66 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,714$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.71 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,674$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 1,600$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 1,556$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Senators | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Golden Knights | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 62c | 1,396$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Senators | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Senators | 46c | 1,242$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 39c | 1,237$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.79 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 67c | 1,123$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.57 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Senators | 45c | 1,093$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,020$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,000$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Golden Knights | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Senators | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Golden Knights | 60c | 999.95$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights | 55c | 918.23$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.37 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Golden Knights | 53c | 896.48$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.07 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 54c | 888.69$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 64c | 876$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Golden Knights | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Senators | 39c | 786.44$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.53 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 760.41$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 710.41$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Senators | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 39c | 562.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.64 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…a6efbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Senators | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Senators | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Senators | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Senators | 46c | 486.04$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 483$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 480.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Golden Knights | 59c | 453.53$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbf…2e52backed Senators | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Senators | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Senators | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 423.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Senators | 45c | 413.19$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Senators | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5478backed Golden Knights | 58c | 389.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Senators | 60c | 388.9$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Golden Knights | 51c | 388.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 378.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Senators | 6c | 373$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.02 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Golden Knights | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Senators | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Senators | 50c | 327.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…917abacked Senators | 40c | 322$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Golden Knights | 60c | 316.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 42c | 311.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 72c | 294$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Golden Knights | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.