TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3613…79e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,298
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 63 out of 100; worst Olympics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT70249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 702 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$443
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$714
Will Brett Howden win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+292.1%+$712.7
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.94
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.3
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$260
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$2,012.88
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.52
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.51
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.39
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.44
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.99
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$332.91
Showing 25 of 702 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST19436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+93.9%+$22.73
Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$575.29
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.7%+$274.84
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,074Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.1%+$2,162.4
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$343
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+106.4%+$1,031
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$133.37
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.78
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.5%+$355.95
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$310.76
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,871.51
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$263.1
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$231.79
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$131.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$509.38
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$159.6
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$476.1
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+117.8%+$1,526.33
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$285.16
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$464.29
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT13133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,670.72
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.68
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.6
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$101.76
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$228
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.38
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.11
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$383
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+305.7%+$948.03
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.46
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.88
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$1,954.5
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.26
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$332
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.17
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,082.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,354.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$17.81
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$433.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.5
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Olympics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$9,509.31
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$290.71
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$4,276.62
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+83.7%+$342.85
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$407
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.6%+$82.22
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.8%+$53.07
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63.15
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63.77
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$273
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$327.3
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$333.5
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$627.39
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$154.75
Women's Semifinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$77.54
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54.31
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$865.29
Will Steven Dubois (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$116.11
USA vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.97
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+273.8%+$881.61
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$482.51
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+210.5%+$415.03
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$326.99
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.12
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$50.32
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$458
Chennai Open: Polina Iatcenko vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.98
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$190
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+314.7%+$994
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$661
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$130
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$248
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Katie Boulterbacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$122
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+181.4%+$360.95
Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+169.7%+$755
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Jiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$244.16
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 22 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.71
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.94
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.68
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,349Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+220.5%+$9,589.08
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$112.43
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+45.6%+$250.4
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Tsunoda?backed Tsunoda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.76
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$175
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$41.86
Will George Russell win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.28
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$32.49
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,060
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$399.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$804.24
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$428.47
Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$91
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.15
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$7,476.29
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,560.34
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+137.2%+$1,520.89
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+194.3%+$449.04
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$565.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.5
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+178.9%+$39.59
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.61
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.18
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Brutalist' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$522
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$229.51
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.52
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.16
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$112.03
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.14
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$309.29
Will Coralie Fargeat win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Substance"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.72
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 0 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.99
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$119.1
Will Monica Barbaro win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.76
Will Felicity Jones win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.09
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$223.22
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.57
Will "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.64
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.51
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.5
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$22,975.47
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$2,837.88
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$880
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$316.24
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$800
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$402.4
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$2,169.36
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$11,966.34
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$646.38
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10,910.12
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$6,422.47
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$5,461.99
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$4,050.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.3%+$14,851.13
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,275.63
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+123.5%+$59,343.21
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,932.93
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$222.45
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$238.75
Will the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.28
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$108.62
NHL 4 Nations: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,860.71
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+266.5%+$1,691.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,096.12
Crimean bridge hit before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$255.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+60.1%+$187.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$560
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$378.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.