F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c43ad71804d12bf5b00dd3957d5eca76a9ae9b31f982945a701329b2889dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 22,685$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 28c | 22,360$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 69c | 18,582$12,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 15,700$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 29c | 12,846$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.02 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Yes | 32c | 10,910$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 31c | 8,927$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddff…4236backed Yes | 46c | 8,887$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 8,197$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 18c | 7,772$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…df65backed No | 60c | 6,448$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,916$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.44 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 23c | 5,513$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 5,013$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…e141backed Yes | 3c | 4,971$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,613$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 15c | 4,438$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…b7e2backed Yes | 5c | 4,028$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…ecc6backed Yes | 52c | 3,617$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f63ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,069$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 3c | 2,816$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,663$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 2,620$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.76 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed Yes | 8c | 2,581$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 30c | 2,539$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.86 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 17c | 2,526$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 17c | 2,392$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,383$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed No | 68c | 2,333$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 30c | 2,319$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 79c | 2,318$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 36c | 2,241$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 3c | 2,136$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 15c | 2,128$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 36c | 2,025$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Yes | 21c | 1,964$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…b49ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,782$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Yes | 28c | 1,613$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 35c | 1,578$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…23edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 36c | 1,441$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 74c | 1,439$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 17c | 1,344$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 15c | 1,304$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 61c | 1,243$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 1,233$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…e5f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 80c | 1,074$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…9cb5backed Yes | 3c | 1,044$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 35c | 1,042$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,025$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…5a69backed Yes | 27c | 1,016$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 52c | 1,008$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.77 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…c9e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…3dc6backed Yes | 27c | 999.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…e416backed Yes | 9c | 965$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 3c | 870.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 3c | 863.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 30c | 846.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…0b16backed Yes | 24c | 845.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 37c | 821.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…0d42backed Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…73e1backed Yes | 3c | 782.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…4ee0backed Yes | 13c | 755.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Yes | 30c | 699.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…d418backed No | 74c | 677.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +467.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 20c | 672.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 649.25$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…afeebacked Yes | 3c | 641.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb2…1750backed Yes | 39c | 636.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…2885backed Yes | 16c | 635.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…a8e6backed Yes | 3c | 626.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…b93cbacked Yes | 33c | 614.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 31c | 604.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 600$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…09cabacked Yes | 3c | 593.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…6a63backed Yes | 31c | 592$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…282ebacked Yes | 34c | 589.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 77c | 586.45$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…d8b8backed No | 63c | 579.54$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 31c | 574.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…d845backed Yes | 32c | 572.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…acb9backed Yes | 21c | 572.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…fa21backed Yes | 9c | 567.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…e0e3backed Yes | 18c | 557.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…97c1backed Yes | 39c | 554.67$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…e2c0backed Yes | 19c | 539.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 18c | 537.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 14c | 529.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 33c | 500.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…acc1backed Yes | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…0ebcbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…6608backed Yes | 27c | 499.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 32c | 489.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 18c | 482.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…bd47backed Yes | 28c | 479.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.