TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe932…0f05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
335
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT9754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$823.05
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$456.06
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$641.33
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$106.56
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$196
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$155
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+42%+$404.33
Will Travis Kelce score a Touchdown in the Chiefs vs. Chargers game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.57
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$129.59
Will there be a doink in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+111.1%+$4,978.39
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.4
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,165.31
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,232.5
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,441.49
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+54.2%+$972.4
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$977.05
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,765.84
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$815.66
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$912.73
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.8%+$812.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67%+$714.27
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.51
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$350.67
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,803Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+83%+$1,495.7
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.47
Congress authorizes military force against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$506.07
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$81
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,670.9
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$874.36
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,374.59
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$192.25
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.2
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,917.58
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,887.74
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,417.55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$499.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+53.7%+$252.52
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+34.1%+$1,811.73
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$325.46
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$489.2
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+70.6%+$450.96
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$3,470.8
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$255.9
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.04
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.05
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.05
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$130.94
Alabama vs. Florida Statebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.66
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$532.7
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,004.92
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,111.35
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$640.1
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$510.59
The CFP Favorites Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,242.18
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+91.3%+$375.09
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.6%+$323.63
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$583.42
Houston vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,085Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$851.52
Texas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56.3%+$24.84
Arkansas vs. Missouribacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$277.75
Tennessee vs. Vanderbiltbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+28.2%+$367.77
Michigan vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$266.6
Florida vs. Ole Missbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+49.2%+$134.33
Will Ole Miss beat Arkansas?backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$128.66
Will LSU beat Arkansas?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$1,060.47
Will Texas A&M beat Arkansas?backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$584.13
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,711.04
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,462.98
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,289.94
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.98
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,623Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$697.38
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$600.73
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$3,419.52
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.94
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.86
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$405.5
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+69%+$1,040
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$428.16
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$531.32
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.32
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.54
UConn vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,659Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+28%+$1,303.56
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,613Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$2,068.81
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$460
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$951.85
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,641.24
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.08
UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Techbacked UNC Wilmington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.52
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$774
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2825%7 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$996.72
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$522.29
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$552.16
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$354.52
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.44
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+595.2%+$892.98
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,944.31
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$955.53
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.71
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.32
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$208
U.S. forces in Gaza before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$714.29
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,066.54
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$207.39
Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$705.53
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$690.43
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+162.3%+$1,638.48
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$213.43
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$91.47
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$2,822.15
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,506.3
Will Trump show up for debate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.45
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$116
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.54
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$145.67
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.95
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+183.3%+$1,571.45
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.4
NBA Finals Game 5: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$183.86
NBA Finals Game 2: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$140
NBA Finals Game 1: Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.97
Western Conference Finals: Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$147.6
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 2backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2024, EDT+203%+$67
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 1backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$256
Knicks vs. Pacers Series Winnerbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$240.54
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers: Game 5backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Game 4backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT+102.2%+$227.5
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 2backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$192
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 1backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Mavericks Series Winnerbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$544.39
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+614.3%+$910.77
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57.99
Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.02
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+32.9%+$409
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$348
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$476.71
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+104.4%+$288.21
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+488.2%+$1,660
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$843.44
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$212.5
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$111.3
Erik ten Hag out as Manchester United manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$209
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$568.88
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,190.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,397.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$619.65
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.53
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.66
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$361.57
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$513
Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+64.6%+$752.12
Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$130
Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$312.94
Will Lewis Hamilton win the British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+525%+$631.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$326.76
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$396.44
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$127.76
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$450
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$2,080.36
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$44.17
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$543.84
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$405
Will Hikaru Nakamura win FIDE Candidates 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,187.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+103.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+64.1%+$1,509.22
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jersey Jerry complete the Immaculate Inning Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$94.29
Who will win Game 2 of Braves vs. Mets?backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$258.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Manchester United (To Advance)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,591.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+100%+$1,157.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.7%+$640.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Simone Biles (USA) win Gold in Women’s Individual All-Around Gymnastics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.