NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75184db075d579cdb9f23a9afabaa1500c4162108160993d04a517d15ee73bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,237,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,326,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,237,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 130,205$79,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,555.88 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 32c | 90,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.98 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 32c | 58,955$18,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,865.56 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 46,141$31,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,760.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Warriors | 37c | 40,335$14,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,740.4 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.93 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 39c | 37,859$14,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,923.39 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 33,845$16,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,260.95 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 30,000$20,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,302.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.93 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 14c | 26,648$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.72 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 29c | 22,168$6,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,395.02 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 62c | 16,592$10,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.89 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Warriors | 39c | 15,260$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Timberwolves | 73c | 14,299$10,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.18 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Warriors | 33c | 14,144$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.92 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 61c | 13,628$8,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.17 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 13,432$8,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.55 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 13,172$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.71 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 32c | 12,955$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.01 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 71c | 12,500$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.2 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 11,978$8,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.84 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 67c | 11,397$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.61 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 3c | 10,598$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 32c | 10,087$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.96 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Warriors | 1c | 10,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 31c | 9,588$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.98 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 33c | 9,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 60c | 9,361$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.75 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 38c | 8,971$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.83 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 29c | 8,093$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.85 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Warriors | 37c | 8,080$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.33 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 31c | 8,010$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Warriors | 27c | 7,638$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.22 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Warriors | 42c | 7,586$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.73 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 26c | 7,579$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 39c | 7,281$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 36c | 6,207$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 5,772$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.24 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 32c | 5,345$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.45 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 37c | 5,280$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.97 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Warriors | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,940$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.9 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Warriors | 3c | 4,363$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,350$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 4,162$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.94 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,700$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 22c | 3,664$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 35c | 3,597$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.69 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 28c | 3,461$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.18 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Warriors | 0c | 3,429$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Timberwolves | 56c | 3,253$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.87 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Warriors | 32c | 3,101$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 3,100$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Warriors | 33c | 3,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 41c | 3,006$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.81 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Timberwolves | 61c | 2,867$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,712$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 26c | 2,701$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.42 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 34c | 2,606$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.53 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Warriors | 11c | 2,534$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Timberwolves | 68c | 2,503$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,322$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 33c | 2,305$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.86 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors | 34c | 2,304$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Warriors | 21c | 2,267$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 2,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,243$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.51 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 2,228$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,218$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.67 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 40c | 2,043$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.48 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 68c | 2,008$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.51 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Warriors | 31c | 1,994$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.13 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors | 37c | 1,962$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Warriors | 30c | 1,670$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,623$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.61 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,609$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.97 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…7f4cbacked Warriors | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,562$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.37 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,549$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.7 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Warriors | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…d061backed Warriors | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Warriors | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 43c | 1,487$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.64 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,484$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 38c | 1,433$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 10c | 1,396$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,287$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.43 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 1,270$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,257$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.69 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Warriors | 3c | 1,250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Warriors | 11c | 1,250$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriorsthis page
- Over 202.5Under won
- Over 203.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Favorite won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Favorite won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Underdog won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Underdog won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Underdog won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.