TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x069c…96e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT5332.1%17 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.36
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+376%+$188
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$325
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+385.5%+$397.55
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$387.22
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+725.2%+$725.18
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$45.61
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+440%+$981.05
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+266.9%+$320.23
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT3925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.54
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+170.1%+$102.04
Twins vs. Rockiesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinalsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+390.3%+$312.22
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Tigers vs. Cardinalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Guardians vs. Redsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+124.5%+$871.43
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Athletics vs. Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+111.5%+$143.92
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$705
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$320.89
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.14
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.