NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe720a5156ad51592d04e08edc51b13114a3ecc1bf331160708485cc1b90c1dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,921,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,788,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,921,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 668,561$396,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,053.07 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 209,317$135,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,094.12 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 35c | 201,981$70,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,192.3 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 27c | 195,233$53,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,147 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 39c | 173,924$68,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,042.11 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 10c | 139,527$14,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,602.77 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 20c | 118,379$23,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,734.49 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 100,182$65,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,412.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 35c | 82,729$28,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,937.12 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…4107backed Warriors | 37c | 74,937$28,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,085.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Warriors | 37c | 51,921$19,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,228.26 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 47,941$30,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,333.92 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Timberwolves | 65c | 46,573$30,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,300.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Warriors | 11c | 38,332$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.27 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 35,510$23,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,441.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 37c | 34,323$12,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,593.37 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Warriors | 41c | 33,531$13,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.1 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…f30bbacked Warriors | 35c | 33,318$11,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…df33backed Timberwolves | 65c | 33,318$21,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,661.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Warriors | 22c | 30,756$6,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,811.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 30,000$19,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,527.94 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,840$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 1c | 24,627$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 37c | 22,841$8,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,364.25 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 44c | 22,439$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 21c | 20,859$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.27 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Warriors | 42c | 19,341$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.85 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Warriors | 7c | 17,428$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.26 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 8c | 17,400$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 36c | 17,357$6,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.36 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Warriors | 3c | 16,860$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Warriors | 35c | 15,554$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.99 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 25c | 14,982$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.21 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 34c | 14,778$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.59 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 14,510$9,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.73 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 58c | 14,203$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.26 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 37c | 10,938$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.49 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Warriors | 5c | 10,068$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 77c | 10,000$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.56 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 30c | 9,941$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.57 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Warriors | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 9,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…8fe6backed Timberwolves | 56c | 8,859$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Warriors | 42c | 8,490$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.83 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Warriors | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 28c | 8,332$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.55 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 29c | 8,178$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.33 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 8,153$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Warriors | 35c | 7,534$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.74 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,127$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,700$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 38c | 6,352$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.85 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,167$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.84 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 37c | 6,085$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.27 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Warriors | 2c | 6,008$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Warriors | 0c | 5,925$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Warriors | 1c | 5,873$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 40c | 5,736$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Warriors | 5c | 5,500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Warriors | 39c | 5,300$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Warriors | 6c | 5,105$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 15c | 5,052$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 34c | 5,050$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.94 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Warriors | 23c | 5,030$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.86 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 37c | 5,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 37c | 4,531$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.58 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 36c | 4,243$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.7 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Warriors | 10c | 4,141$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 37c | 4,073$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Warriors | 1c | 4,051$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,809$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors | 40c | 3,760$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.78 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…61d1backed Warriors | 2c | 3,588$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…275cbacked Warriors | 3c | 3,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Warriors | 2c | 3,468$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 19c | 3,373$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…2ab7backed Warriors | 2c | 3,355$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…3941backed Warriors | 5c | 3,163$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Warriors | 3c | 3,139$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 3,061$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.8 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 14c | 3,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 34c | 2,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 40c | 2,747$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Timberwolves | 74c | 2,496$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Warriors | 38c | 2,483$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Warriors | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Warriors | 2c | 2,389$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 2,242$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.75 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 2,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Warriors | 3c | 2,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 19c | 2,050$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Warriors | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Warriors | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriorsthis page
- Over 202.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.