TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a75…4347

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST13248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.2%+$49.18
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17,556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+44.6%+$7,821.49
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.9%+$5,952.53
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.09
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$165.19
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109,755Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$38,535.52
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,053Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+67.6%+$2,741.71
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$7,700.59
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.33
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+68.9%+$1,474.23
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.2%+$67.97
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+34%+$144.55
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,465
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26,103.69
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,068Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.1%+$2,845.6
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+46.8%+$71.75
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$268.95
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$7,881.6
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+34.6%+$9
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$4,147.95
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37.1%+$48.45
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$705.1
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50,517Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29%+$14,643.75
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$4,635.93
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$65.95
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34,114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$37,564.88
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30,443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$32,053.54
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.36
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,691.31
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,816.8
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$7,894.41
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,061.08
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,110.71
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,522Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$2,508.42
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$385.84
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3,315.45
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57.1
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.6%+$225.57
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+141.1%+$135.33
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10,690.9
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$826.41
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$968.84
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$9,598.12
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$8,355.27
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,411.21
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,981Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$4,735.21
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$173,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$57,110.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,359.66
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,908.47
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$562.56
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,643.29
Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,548.7
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,318.28
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$23.5
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,685.07
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85,539Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$29,689.64
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$710.42
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$15,687.3
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+111.8%+$583.89
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.51
Wimbledon: Holmgren vs. Machacbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+96.9%+$32.52
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+283%+$59.85
Wimbledon: Munar vs. Bublik backed Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$1,243.28
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,620.89
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$1,292
Wimbledon: Basilashvili vs. Musetti backed Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9,591.95
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,269.6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62,692Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.2%+$60,333.03
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+116.5%+$46,215.31
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,800
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+270.4%+$3,650
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$571.53
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,700
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,229
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Slavia Praha vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,593Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$3,286.34
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$4,071.99
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$805.3
Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$222.98
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+131.5%+$251.31
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$1,108.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.04
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$156.32
Will Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$45.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.34
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.4
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,003.79
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$36.9
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,982Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.2%+$538.3
Will the Mariners beat the Blue Jays 4-3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.41
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$912.97
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.99
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the Division Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$70.59
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.64
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.48
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$14,399.63
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,149.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$340.5
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,375.9
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,674.23
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,469Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$2,717.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$2,637.74
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$774.46
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuanibacked Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$668.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$48.43
Storm vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$36.4
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,417.27
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.05
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,600
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+97%+$253.94
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+86%+$2,861.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30.8
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$8,408.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,182.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$7,950.91
Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$9,314.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+426.3%+$81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.