TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes44c18,906$8,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,648.281315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No43c7,571$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes54c6,191$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes34c4,200$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7721050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes52c4,123$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8dc…9e18backed No46c3,694$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c3,050$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.816535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes60c3,030$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes56c2,927$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.655349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes55c2,867$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892e…4e89backed Yes26c2,658$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No42c2,640$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked No67c2,495$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes41c2,405$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.318453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes52c2,081$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes62c2,062$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Yes49c1,980$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked No66c1,970$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes45c1,848$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Yes28c1,768$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked No49c1,640$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.651030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes51c1,637$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.215100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes56c1,620$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No63c1,530$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes51c1,529$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Yes58c1,435$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes56c1,425$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes34c1,388$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes52c1,374$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes33c1,339$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No78c1,287$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes29c1,243$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yes55c1,060$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4773100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+217.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7868…4567backed Yes56c992.61$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes27c966.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes49c966.29$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No43c950.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.93742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2b…b200backed Yes56c946.43$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes57c944.91$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Yes58c932.76$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No44c914.98$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes44c898.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca7…31a2backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No53c860.31$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.662825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes59c841.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes30c815.47$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.378344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf488…b954backed Yes31c815.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked No49c813.14$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda7f…7313backed Yes49c773.09$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes57c756.09$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No53c752.75$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes55c742.3$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes55c729.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes51c692.23$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No56c685.37$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ce7…dc95backed Yes33c673.32$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes50c671.5$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.831747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…5265backed Yes54c644.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af6…b030backed Yes31c599.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed No53c587.61$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.582729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes65c586.97$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f1…c78bbacked Yes38c582.77$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2861421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes51c534.82$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No50c528.39$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf7…056cbacked Yes57c523.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes58c521.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed Yes51c502.25$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No58c488.32$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584c…ca54backed Yes52c486.02$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…d875backed Yes41c478.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes47c456.7$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Yes56c452$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes57c446.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes45c442.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.391040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked Yes51c436.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff3e…d6febacked Yes54c430$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes50c414$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes25c403.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+209.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…b789backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes33c398.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4392…c95dbacked Yes55c392.31$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec76…f9f1backed No51c339.18$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes52c336.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked Yes48c335$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3164…3033backed Yes30c332.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes39c330$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.06837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb1…ff3bbacked Yes30c329.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yes44c326.96$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.472544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes55c316.62$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4838…45d9backed Yes56c301$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked Yes52c300.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed Yes34c297.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No68c295.1$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.