Euroleague · resolved market
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b7228a854adeb2017ec3379bb725e5d38604e3af0745783dbb1b9835e567b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,918$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 1c | 2,820$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 13c | 2,411$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 5c | 2,052$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b10ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,997$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…ff3bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,991$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 80c | 1,916$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 12c | 1,835$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…13bbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,557$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…6d7fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,327$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 16c | 1,181$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,162$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…68c5backed Yes | 24c | 882.95$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes | 18c | 853.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 8c | 626.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…6474backed Yes | 24c | 619.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 16c | 610.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 79c | 588.07$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 6c | 575.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 12c | 557.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 9c | 551.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Yes | 19c | 530.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Yes | 20c | 510.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 21c | 500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 22c | 458.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 12c | 388.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 21c | 385.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 10c | 349.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 7c | 335.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 19c | 330$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 14c | 329.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3909backed Yes | 7c | 291.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…7fb5backed Yes | 19c | 274.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837f…933bbacked Yes | 10c | 240.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…b6cebacked Yes | 13c | 238.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…5753backed Yes | 17c | 235.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Yes | 18c | 233.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…6662backed Yes | 22c | 221.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 212.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…05c2backed Yes | 17c | 202.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…2a30backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…2c73backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 22c | 165.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…befabacked Yes | 12c | 160.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…1e1dbacked Yes | 19c | 156.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 21c | 156.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 14c | 154.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…632ebacked Yes | 19c | 152.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…5721backed Yes | 10c | 130.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 20c | 126.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 79c | 90.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Yes | 19c | 62.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked Yes | 18c | 57.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 79c | 27.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes won
- Will Israel win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Italy win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.