TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x900b…34bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST8750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.52
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$90.99
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$64.26
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+127.8%+$25.57
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$59.57
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Astros vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.29
Pirates vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$489.96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$320
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$762
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.28
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$11.53
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$61.1
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$110.17
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+157.7%+$160.88
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will Novak Djokovic win a Grand Slam tournament in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+101.7%+$119.38
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$52.92
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
US Open: Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritzbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kymbacked Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+285.1%+$223.52
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
US Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US Open: Quentin Halys vs David Goffinbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
US Open: Valentin Royer vs Bu Yunchaoketebacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$342
ATP Cincinnati - Lehecka vs. Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+155%+$77.5
ATP Cincinnati - Mannarino vs. Paul backed Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+300%+$97.5
ATP Cincinnati - Fonseca vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$105.61
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$26.94
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat LA Galaxy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$91.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.