MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21db12b954cf7a63cd1f090a85f2cf42fd9c8b7b164b8362915e543b7645d3db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 51c | 57,459$29,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,383.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 68c | 23,041$15,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 47c | 20,553$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.29 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 50c | 19,958$10,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,919.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 47c | 16,263$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,581.8 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 39c | 15,946$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.75 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 13c | 13,383$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.45 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 47c | 11,762$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.06 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Sox | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Athletics | 72c | 10,442$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.43 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 46c | 9,858$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 9,719$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 23c | 5,040$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.56 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Red Sox | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Red Sox | 40c | 5,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 49c | 4,729$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.79 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 45c | 4,486$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.32 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 52c | 4,351$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.51 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Red Sox | 48c | 4,327$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 44c | 4,094$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.42 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 44c | 3,872$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 45c | 3,549$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.93 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 28c | 3,471$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 49c | 3,122$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.62 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 48c | 2,891$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.09 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,267$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.79 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Athletics | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.86 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,650$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 52c | 1,456$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.56 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,394$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.86 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Red Sox | 23c | 1,285$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 27c | 1,270$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.62 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,238$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.68 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Athletics | 47c | 1,228$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.84 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Red Sox | 50c | 956.06$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.03 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 950.57$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 39c | 938.27$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Red Sox | 54c | 926.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 46c | 869$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 53c | 866.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.38 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Red Sox | 21c | 862.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Athletics | 46c | 825$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Red Sox | 45c | 816.8$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 44c | 640.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…72b9backed Red Sox | 26c | 628.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Red Sox | 53c | 621.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 49c | 603$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Red Sox | 54c | 595$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Athletics | 55c | 592.73$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 20c | 588.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 61c | 562.3$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Red Sox | 64c | 545$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Sox | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 80c | 449$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Red Sox | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox | 53c | 411.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.88 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 48c | 407.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Red Sox | 23c | 392.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Red Sox | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Red Sox | 33c | 380$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Athletics | 53c | 376.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Athletics | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Red Sox | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 59c | 334.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 49c | 333$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 329.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 328$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 61c | 327.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Athletics | 60c | 322.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Athletics | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Athletics | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 53c | 247.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Red Sox | 62c | 241.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Red Sox | 56c | 235.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 56c | 224.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…6b44backed Red Sox | 26c | 220.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Athletics | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Red Sox | 55c | 201.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Red Sox | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Red Sox | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Red Sox | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Athleticsthis page
- NRFI: Red Sox vs. AthleticsNo won
- Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.