TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6ab…5eb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT6873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,571.43
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$16,592.23
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+137.1%+$34,269.16
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9,850.75
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18,387.1
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$1,568.14
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,903Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$14,852.36
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$13,809.52
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6,767.03
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20,227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+160.6%+$32,492.94
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$3,578.24
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$11,180.93
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+456.9%+$4,568.7
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16,250.21
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$8,408.41
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$523.68
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$3,063.64
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$1,013.01
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$1,788.08
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+137.6%+$1,375.95
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,761.9
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,615.38
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,501Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$2,941.43
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,688
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+34%+$1,020.64
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,500
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,000
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,819.44
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,000
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21,626.02
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$5,387.82
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$7,370.75
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3,157.89
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70,000
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$2,683.58
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,000
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+65%+$25,985.75
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,743Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$8,028.77
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+69.4%+$10,410.16
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$683
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3773%27 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,175.54
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,053.98
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,440.73
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$398.04
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,521.9
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,765.81
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,364.44
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,594.03
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$2,500
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,756.76
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$1,902.21
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17,187Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$5,470.25
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$2,246.38
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,698Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$2,924.55
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,945Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$6,440.46
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+49.5%+$5,610.72
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,919Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+44.7%+$1,751.01
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$2,183
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,088Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+64.7%+$2,643.78
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,066Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+42.9%+$885.63
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$599.27
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$600
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+41%+$204.88
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+138.8%+$555.05
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+96.1%+$961.37
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,096Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,088.78
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$294.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$739.73
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$15,804.65
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$12,110.78
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$4,162.25
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53,000
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$12,285.47
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$756.42
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,615.38
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$2,162.1
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+32.8%+$983.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+150%+$3,340.5
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+28.6%+$285.85
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+38.2%+$381.86
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+51.5%+$761.91
Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+28.6%+$486.47
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$588.65
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,524.11
Colorado State vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,836Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$3,687.71
Auburn vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,757Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$1,274.96
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,957.02
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+43.5%+$1,543.84
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+71.4%+$392.57
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+53.4%+$534.27
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+27%+$269.66
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+38.9%+$482.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,031.24
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$2,832.28
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5,151.52
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+134.7%+$1,346.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,347.83
Aliskerov vs. Munizbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$250
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,000
Dream vs Sunbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+91%+$4,547.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.