NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041d132f2f91faf460794e359d8c421c3c3ed9dd43be741e0af02eb6df26d33a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,188,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,281,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,188,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Rockets | 53c | 341,082$179,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,310.53 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Rockets | 33c | 151,465$49,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,925.31 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Warriors | 67c | 132,674$88,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,891.33 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Rockets | 33c | 121,800$40,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,605.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…66a2backed Warriors | 58c | 80,152$46,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 32c | 76,302$24,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,758.7 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 67c | 70,665$47,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,345.88 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets | 41c | 61,496$25,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,339.04 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Warriors | 66c | 49,493$32,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,883.52 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Warriors | 50c | 48,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Rockets | 33c | 40,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,799.84 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 32c | 39,733$12,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,014.97 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Warriors | 68c | 39,730$27,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,016.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rockets | 34c | 35,011$11,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,224.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 41c | 33,491$13,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,719.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 17c | 30,029$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.94 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 4c | 30,000$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rockets | 71c | 23,524$16,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.87 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Warriors | 67c | 21,384$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 57c | 20,169$11,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,751.54 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Warriors | 10c | 20,133$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.26 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 66c | 19,999$13,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,130.82 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 59c | 16,942$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 68c | 16,402$11,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,167.8 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Warriors | 1c | 16,350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Warriors | 49c | 16,316$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 68c | 16,250$11,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,050 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 66c | 16,003$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.18 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Warriors | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Warriors | 1c | 15,993$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors | 67c | 15,150$10,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150.5 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Warriors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Warriors | 67c | 14,926$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Warriors | 3c | 14,411$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 32c | 13,533$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 50c | 12,653$6,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,367.35 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 46c | 11,714$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.1 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Rockets | 34c | 11,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 30c | 10,805$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 50c | 10,780$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Warriors | 1c | 9,930$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Rockets | 33c | 8,986$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.8 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rockets | 42c | 8,867$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.66 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 60c | 8,696$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.35 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 64c | 8,510$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Warriors | 68c | 8,500$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…4379backed Warriors | 1c | 7,829$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 32c | 7,763$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.84 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 7,763$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 21c | 6,674$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.04 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 67c | 6,500$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Warriors | 34c | 6,084$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Warriors | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Warriors | 66c | 5,746$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 50c | 5,488$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 66c | 5,475$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.66 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Warriors | 1c | 5,068$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Warriors | 52c | 4,941$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.54 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 33c | 4,939$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.39 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 56c | 4,920$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.19 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 54c | 4,851$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.38 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Warriors | 41c | 4,825$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,680$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.01 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockets | 32c | 4,484$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.89 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 68c | 4,428$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.41 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…e5a2backed Warriors | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Rockets | 32c | 4,126$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.43 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Warriors | 63c | 4,070$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 33c | 4,050$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Warriors | 50c | 3,902$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Warriors | 68c | 3,900$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Warriors | 4c | 3,816$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 41c | 3,738$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.69 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets | 38c | 3,288$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.06 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rockets | 32c | 3,286$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 32c | 3,147$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.62 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Warriors | 69c | 3,126$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…3592backed Rockets | 32c | 3,123$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockets | 49c | 3,084$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.39 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 67c | 3,075$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Rockets | 33c | 3,034$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 51c | 3,026$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 67c | 3,024$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.15 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Warriors | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Rockets | 34c | 2,999$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Warriors | 50c | 2,793$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.26 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Warriors | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,669$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Warriors | 43c | 2,632$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Warriors | 68c | 2,484$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Warriors | 67c | 2,405$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 67c | 2,251$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Warriors | 16c | 2,221$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Warriors | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.06 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Warriors | 6c | 2,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,074$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.02 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.