TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7320…28b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT12657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,970.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,194
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,280
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,828.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,720
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$5,120
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$1,910
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,659.39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,002.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,367
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,640
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,570.3
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,597.14
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,225.48
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,550
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,870
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,200
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,400
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,463.33
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,262.76
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$842.4
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,485
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,680
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.98
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,465
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,000
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,270
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,860
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,500
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15,132.28
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.1%+$3,502.7
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$751.69
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$5,001.3
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,500
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,950
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.99
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,715.6
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,221.86
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+112%+$12,679.9
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.5
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Song · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,810Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+46.3%+$2,689.97
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+203%+$670
Kattar vs. Zalalbacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Shahbazyan vs. Budkabacked Budka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Estevam vs. Aguilarbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70.09
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.1%+$3,900
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64.3%+$6,650
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+46.8%+$8,980.35
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,399.99
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.7%+$4,603.04
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,900
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$4,100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$3,499.97
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$866.68
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10,919.78
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$6,860
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.2%+$788.17
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,399.98
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,697Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$2,419.84
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,803Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,359.8
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,425Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$3,074.99
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,430
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+64.5%+$6,591.51
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$6,380
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16,599.97
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,662.09
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$7,500
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,160
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick46cpaid+91.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55,577.06
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$4,919.99
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58,323Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+50.5%+$29,470.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,813Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$6,187.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$5,999.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,690
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45,379.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+37.1%+$28,639.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,604Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$1,401
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,999.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.