NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731d3440369f4e92d0223215323645ac6b3b40c19f2fe03885ec7dc3ce1abad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,976,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,896,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,976,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 42c | 339,641$143,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,627.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Thunder | 43c | 248,854$106,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,498.85 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Thunder | 0c | 171,729$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 20c | 157,492$31,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,323.21 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Thunder | 22c | 147,823$32,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,006.39 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Thunder | 25c | 117,920$29,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,479.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Nuggets | 71c | 110,989$78,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,351.85 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 29c | 101,644$29,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,258.45 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Thunder | 20c | 99,999$19,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,655.01 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Nuggets | 56c | 98,663$55,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,411.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Thunder | 44c | 97,510$42,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,904.39 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 28c | 82,758$22,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,818.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 77c | 73,164$56,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,508.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 24c | 70,333$16,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,586.07 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 62c | 69,281$43,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,150.85 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 72c | 66,540$47,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,657.33 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Thunder | 23c | 61,614$14,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,006.47 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Thunder | 44c | 59,986$26,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,340.43 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 75c | 53,290$39,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,306.91 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 43c | 53,093$22,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,803.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 1c | 53,084$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Thunder | 43c | 50,849$21,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,938.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Thunder | 17c | 47,510$8,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,076.7 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Thunder | 24c | 41,078$9,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,858.73 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Nuggets | 75c | 40,001$29,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027.69 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Thunder | 23c | 33,433$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.7 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 30c | 32,535$9,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,743.06 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Thunder | 29c | 31,964$9,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,269.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 43c | 30,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,050.04 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 0c | 30,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 40c | 28,920$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,568 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 33c | 27,115$8,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,816.21 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 25,666$14,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,549.58 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 56c | 24,764$13,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,828.4 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 71c | 24,275$17,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Nuggets | 64c | 24,090$15,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.58 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 23,601$18,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 79c | 19,461$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Thunder | 29c | 19,274$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.03 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 71c | 19,141$13,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.18 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 56c | 19,100$10,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,401.57 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…16d4backed Thunder | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 72c | 18,712$13,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Nuggets | 73c | 17,437$12,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 71c | 17,265$12,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 17,091$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.23 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…90bfbacked Thunder | 0c | 17,078$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nuggets | 71c | 16,793$11,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.41 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 69c | 16,760$11,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Nuggets | 71c | 16,399$11,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.91 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Thunder | 19c | 15,308$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.43 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Nuggets | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuggets | 61c | 14,030$8,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.44 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Nuggets | 60c | 13,602$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.55 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Thunder | 29c | 13,541$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.01 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 36c | 13,460$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 76c | 13,109$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Thunder | 32c | 12,156$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Nuggets | 63c | 12,130$7,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.09 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Nuggets | 71c | 11,633$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.51 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Nuggets | 56c | 10,901$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.33 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Thunder | 18c | 10,460$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nuggets | 70c | 10,328$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.96 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Thunder | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Thunder | 30c | 9,954$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Nuggets | 67c | 9,626$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.57 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Thunder | 19c | 9,514$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Nuggets | 69c | 9,474$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.34 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 30c | 9,114$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Nuggets | 71c | 8,934$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.16 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Thunder | 43c | 8,820$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.23 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 18c | 8,710$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.77 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 41c | 8,427$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.05 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Nuggets | 55c | 8,142$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.66 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Nuggets | 76c | 7,931$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.46 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Nuggets | 76c | 7,760$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Nuggets | 74c | 7,688$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.15 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Thunder | 7c | 7,201$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Thunder | 34c | 7,011$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.74 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed Thunder | 16c | 7,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Thunder | 29c | 6,889$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.5 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 65c | 6,841$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Thunder | 38c | 6,504$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.42 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 73c | 6,504$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Thunder | 30c | 6,383$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.02 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Thunder | 43c | 6,256$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.01 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 30c | 6,003$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.85 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Thunder | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Nuggets | 63c | 5,977$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.18 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,959$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.77 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Thunder | 18c | 5,939$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Nuggets | 79c | 5,921$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.52 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Nuggets | 56c | 5,842$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.3 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Thunder | 34c | 5,805$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Nuggets | 73c | 5,540$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.36 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,509$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.24 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 30c | 5,500$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.