NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc91bedb6c8760b4fcd081929c955cbc2094d07751428d3476f816739f1a7d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 48c | 6,962$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.67 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,631$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 52c | 6,046$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.51 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Thunder | 55c | 5,592$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Nuggets | 44c | 4,429$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.88 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 62c | 4,098$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 68c | 3,282$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Thunder | 67c | 3,271$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.81 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 44c | 3,070$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,720$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 57c | 2,153$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,956$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,947$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.47 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 67c | 1,692$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.63 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.99 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Thunder | 49c | 1,267$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.22 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 68c | 1,203$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.41 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 55c | 1,165$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,130$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.23 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.55 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,068$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.11 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 974.82$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Thunder | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 68c | 609.87$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 67c | 593.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 67c | 589.56$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.71 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Thunder | 67c | 589.56$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.71 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 67c | 521.66$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 68c | 515.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Thunder | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Thunder | 45c | 390.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Thunder | 45c | 389.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Thunder | 68c | 363.08$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Thunder | 48c | 357.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nuggets | 30c | 354.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…2c73backed Nuggets | 55c | 348.44$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Thunder | 68c | 343.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…fc83backed Nuggets | 33c | 309.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nuggets | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Nuggets | 51c | 270.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 54c | 268.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 63c | 264.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 65c | 235.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Thunder | 47c | 218.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Thunder | 56c | 211.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nuggets | 20c | 210.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Thunder | 44c | 200.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…e97bbacked Thunder | 46c | 199.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Thunder | 45c | 194.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nuggets | 25c | 190.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Nuggets | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…288ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Nuggets | 56c | 174.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 65c | 156.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Nuggets | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Thunder | 67c | 146.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Nuggets | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nuggets | 51c | 129.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Nuggets | 38c | 126.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Thunder | 46c | 123.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Thunder | 68c | 123.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 54c | 122.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Nuggets | 50c | 118.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nuggets | 26c | 112.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Nuggets | 36c | 109.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…0708backed Thunder | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…020dbacked Thunder | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 54c | 97.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…56aebacked Nuggets | 31c | 93.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thunder | 16c | 91.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Nuggets | 28c | 91.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 45c | 90.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nuggets | 56c | 88.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Thunder | 56c | 86.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Nuggets | 20c | 85.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 77.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 33c | 77.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 66c | 72.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 69.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 67c | 69.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Thunder | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets | 20c | 68.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Nuggets | 32c | 67.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nuggets | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Nuggets | 38c | 65.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…d4d7backed Thunder | 49c | 63.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Nuggets | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Thunder | 46c | 58.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Nuggets | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nuggets | 50c | 57.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d447backed Nuggets | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 57.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Nuggets | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Thunder vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.