TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c23…261e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$10.91
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$155.93
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.09
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$76.17
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$122.21
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$12.82
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$41.6
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.27
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$378.02
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.29
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$13.67
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.6
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$172.85
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$60.61
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$13.04
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$246.54
Will Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$121.03
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.23
Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$9.68
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$36.9
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.73
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.39
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$93.42
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$27.05
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$206.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32%+$227.25
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+261.9%+$542.69
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$23.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandezbacked Tibo Colson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.13
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$318.04
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$29.84
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$7.38
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$295.92
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$302.72
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$194.34
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$7.4
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$213.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$120.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.