Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6380cf0cb1c7adce510753eeee1075cef6596d1de05eaa4715e56bbfe176bea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Midonof Lautaro Midon, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 12,643$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,429.7 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 8,309$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.07 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 24c | 5,283$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.31 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 38c | 4,756$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Lautaro Midon | 25c | 3,759$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.1 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lautaro Midon | 49c | 3,361$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.02 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lautaro Midon | 36c | 2,679$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 6c | 2,448$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 7c | 2,018$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Lautaro Midon | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Lautaro Midon | 69c | 1,968$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.09 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 26c | 1,826$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.27 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 21c | 1,806$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.52 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 62c | 1,687$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.94 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Lautaro Midon | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Lautaro Midon | 42c | 1,434$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.22 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lautaro Midon | 77c | 1,286$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.97 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lautaro Midon | 22c | 1,083$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.88 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Lautaro Midon | 41c | 1,017$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Lautaro Midon | 41c | 1,006$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Lautaro Midon | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.93 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Lautaro Midon | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 999.94$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 33c | 925.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 6c | 730.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lautaro Midon | 22c | 594.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.52 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lautaro Midon | 42c | 589.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.18 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 576.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 576.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 552.61$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 541.01$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.79 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lautaro Midon | 65c | 533.66$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Lautaro Midon | 64c | 516.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 470.72$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 422.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 5c | 359.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 337.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Lautaro Midon | 79c | 332.68$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 315.65$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 303.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lautaro Midon | 59c | 292.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 268.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 258.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 244.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lautaro Midon | 26c | 234.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 232.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 223.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 218.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 218.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 217.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 212.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Lautaro Midon | 23c | 206.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 45c | 200.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 198.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 189.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 6c | 188.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 61c | 178.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 61c | 178.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 61c | 178.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 175.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 172.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 161.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Lautaro Midon | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Lautaro Midon | 42c | 146.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Lautaro Midon | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Lautaro Midon | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed Lautaro Midon | 22c | 129.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…f49abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 127.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 25c | 116.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Lautaro Midon | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 108.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lautaro Midon | 43c | 108.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Lautaro Midon | 43c | 105.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 102.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 97.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 16c | 93.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 92.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 89.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Lautaro Midon | 43c | 87.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 86.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 77.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 27c | 74.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Lautaro Midon | 20c | 74.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lautaro Midon | 39c | 73.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 47c | 73.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Lautaro Midon | 28c | 66.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lautaro Midon | 78c | 64.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Lautaro Midon | 42c | 63.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 61.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Midon vs VarillasMidon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.