TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8bb…e40f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$102.22
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.32
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$135.8
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.05
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.37
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$927.55
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.21
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.45
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.35
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.95
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.32
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,480
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,201.34
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.64
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.89
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.66
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$255.83
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.62
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,414.28
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.21
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.03
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$182.84
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.81
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$175.45
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$429.99
Tallahassee: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Galanbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$318.4
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.98
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.98
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.31
Sarasota: Andres Andrade vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.84
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$399.82
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$455.15
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.14
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.08
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$699.22
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,179.98
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.98
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.99
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$371.43
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.83
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.74
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$251.2
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,672.43
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,835.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,967Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,896.63
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$454.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,215.37
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$587.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$135.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick5cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,360
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.82
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.01
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.59
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.62
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.89
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.18
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+833.6%+$2,625.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$660
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,920
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.76
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,960
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$227.59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.9
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,059.99
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$428.96
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,432.15
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.39
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$748.17
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will Bayern München vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.67
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed CS Independiente Rivadavia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$202.25
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed CD Universidad Católica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.99
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.56
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed Barcelona SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.44
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+248.9%+$166.63
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.81
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+87.9%+$1,252.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.73
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$52.2
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$483.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.