South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d58c0c7a53dea8c360560d5f208dea4e33e2d3df11c343aa83d4a4fd1ce396c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 15c | 1,025$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 854.87$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 467.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 60c | 453.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 373.57$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed No | 39c | 348.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 36c | 309$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 304.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 29c | 283.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 29c | 233.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 223.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 30c | 178.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 177.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 176.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 164.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Yes | 29c | 163.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 71c | 160.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 36c | 100.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 41c | 100.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 29c | 96.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…8744backed Yes | 61c | 88.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 87.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 67c | 85.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 73c | 80.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 29c | 52.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 38c | 47.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 30c | 44.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 38c | 30.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 61c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.