South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418bd3d7d76188a097a4b2a3a299989865ad77a7397b544d1e671e86b45f2f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,716$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 950.66$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 41c | 527.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 386.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 24c | 299.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 268.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 225.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 22c | 211.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 38c | 176.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 150.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 9c | 139.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 123.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…3162backed Yes | 38c | 114.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 69c | 113.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 69c | 113.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 35c | 95.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 62c | 85.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 62c | 84.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…177abacked Yes | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed Yes | 39c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 38c | 48.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 35.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 35.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…0c47backed No | 63c | 24.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 59c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.