South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b3f161e6dba95abacbc11fa4cc0cc65b66c7cee6140d2397c835a6a4a842f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 33c | 2,580$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 1,048$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,007$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 978.51$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.55 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 895.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 701.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 23c | 635.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 77c | 602.15$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 514.61$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 37c | 493.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 69c | 390$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 274.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 68c | 201.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…0eaabacked Yes | 38c | 153.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 68c | 149.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 126.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 99.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 34c | 84.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 75.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 31c | 66.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…9df8backed No | 30c | 63.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 67c | 59.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 52.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 67c | 45.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 57c | 39.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 28c | 39.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed No | 33c | 36.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 35.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…8ab4backed Yes | 38c | 34.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 32.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…99a0backed Yes | 72c | 31.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 64c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 28.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 64c | 27.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…8759backed Yes | 75c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…c1a8backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.