TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa1c…0144

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.65
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.07
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$9.48
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$6.49
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$8.14
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$8.83
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$4.97
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$6.97
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$5.08
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$11.3
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$51.1
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$14.3
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35%+$6.96
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$21.27
CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$45.84
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.06
Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$24.88
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$35.81
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$24.11
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$60.62
Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9.76
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$35.59
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$9.68
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Real Racing Club vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$90.64
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$32.4
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$21.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$56.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$21.42
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$22.39
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+276.7%+$124.52
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$6.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$23.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$30.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$57.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+207.5%+$35.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$11.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$103.59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$122.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$61.68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$23.27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+469%+$140.69
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$6.68
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$9.07
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$12.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$9.92
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$11.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$53.61
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27%+$40.48
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$12.27
Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$17.19
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$9.65
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$11.88
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+306.7%+$146.43
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53%+$9.35
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Will Pisa SC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$23.07
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.15
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.76
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.28
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$25.86
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.66
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.63
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.05
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$11.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$23.17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$22.26
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$54.19
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+68.8%+$14.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.84
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31%+$7.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35%+$68.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.