TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,447 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Yes13c38,462$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,461.54837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes11c24,367$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,686.3721143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes13c19,231$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,730.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c17,252$8,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,369.351,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No27c8,797$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.6915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c6,425$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.3671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes12c5,050$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.9410521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed No11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes12c5,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.988435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c4,743$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c3,922$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.5348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e95…dbf0backed Yes17c3,921$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+194.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes13c3,885$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes79c3,777$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes12c3,647$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No32c3,544$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.092360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes36c3,446$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.192259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d45…7cdbbacked Yes12c3,348$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Yes34c3,061$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes11c2,662$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.4924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No21c2,647$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.0237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Yes12c2,325$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c2,061$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.2535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No1c2,027$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.322842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes11c1,991$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd505…2774backed Yes71c1,919$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes11c1,779$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.623748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes12c1,692$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes11c1,272$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.082437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Yes32c1,272$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed No22c1,134$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes14c1,063$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bc…6125backed Yes12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6806233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes73c900$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c872.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1411916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No52c770.25$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes18c755.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.56560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+204.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No35c702.49$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.692352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes12c695$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c692$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c669$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7235037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2031…4059backed Yes13c645.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes79c632.88$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.881450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes32c625.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.131040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes36c623.3$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked No68c580$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.42317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes49c577.1$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5313246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c566.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6711725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed Yes12c557$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.16450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c550.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9315071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No18c547$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.463324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes75c534.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+85.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes78c528.83$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked No68c489.77$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Yes75c474.37$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked No67c457.91$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Yes77c445.03$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes73c444$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.883745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes54c431.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes78c428.33$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No12c418.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.121127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No63c412.7$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbe…630dbacked Yes15c399.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes12c375$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked No70c368.04$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.63666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No68c325.01$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.434141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No50c295.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes12c291.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.677231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes79c284.81$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba30…ca1cbacked Yes71c281.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No11c276.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ed…0c39backed Yes79c273.42$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No43c250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70c…3da8backed Yes71c249$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes17c248.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+260.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c238.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No48c225.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No30c218.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes12c212$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.56633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+167.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80fc…c492backed Yes12c206.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed No15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes58c199.39$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.262035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…5de1backed Yes66c182.91$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Yes11c181.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Yes31c161.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Yes13c157.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.01560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+164.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes12c156.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.568333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86c…4c3cbacked Yes75c155.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…d789backed Yes30c155.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes34c153.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes12c150$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes9c149.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6613016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes32c148.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.262825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.