TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95de…42d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT6960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,419.57
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,573.42
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Twins vs. White Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$103.93
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$53.42
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+93.2%+$372.71
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,155
Braves vs. Guardiansbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$117.22
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$39.44
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$183.13
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Orioles vs. Astrosbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$42.66
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$38.77
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.5%+$43.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.55
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$64.83
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Popyrinbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$162.77
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$891.54
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$46.84
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$177.19
ATP Toronto – Popyrin vs. Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$51.46
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Marozsanbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Vukicbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Sonegobacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$68.43
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$79.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. LGD Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$286
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked Bilibili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$162.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$168.56
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.25
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Göztepe SK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120.1%+$180.16
Will Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59.4%+$59.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Valkyries vs Skybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$70.63
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$502.65
Liberty vs Wingsbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bears vs. Chiefs backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Titans vs. Falcons backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$84.49
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel out by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$34.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.