Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5221f1b239e7daf56507448ba3ae1ceec3dd0f2068da961b902e8bbff9768f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,090,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,090,492 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 46c | 92,425$42,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,872.85 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 92,201$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,201.19 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,799.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 46c | 70,563$32,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,459.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 62,843$33,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,383.38 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 46c | 55,539$25,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,547.83 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 47c | 55,289$25,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,892.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 47c | 43,596$20,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,290.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 54c | 41,941$22,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,293.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 34,870$16,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,079.37 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 32,987$19,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,151.07 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 1c | 31,358$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 47c | 24,364$11,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,343.64 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 46c | 24,310$11,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,182.59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 46c | 23,250$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,695 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 23,119$12,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,868.23 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Yes | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 47c | 11,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 68c | 9,543$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.8 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 8,651$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.75 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 7,854$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 52c | 6,490$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 46c | 6,257$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 53c | 5,557$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 50c | 5,005$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.92 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 4,737$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.12 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 9c | 4,427$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…1023backed No | 46c | 4,315$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 4,175$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.82 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Yes | 55c | 3,647$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 1c | 3,132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 3,100$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 3,097$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.91 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 46c | 2,775$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 46c | 2,702$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 2,577$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 46c | 2,478$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Yes | 54c | 2,156$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 57c | 2,114$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 50c | 2,040$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.64 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 46c | 2,034$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 1,743$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.11 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 54c | 1,689$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.92 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 47c | 1,585$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.52 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 6c | 1,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 1,391$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 10c | 1,100$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 47c | 1,068$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…81fabacked No | 1c | 1,055$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 47c | 999.92$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 53c | 996.53$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 985.22$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.23 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…fee5backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 865.91$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 46c | 831.29$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 52c | 799.96$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Yes | 52c | 791.24$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 15c | 747$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 54c | 740.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 54c | 740.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 11c | 710$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 682.2$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…c1b7backed Yes | 54c | 657.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…3b2dbacked Yes | 54c | 624.07$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 52c | 622.53$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 54c | 618.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.