Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a917f91ca35fb116f3d9cda481a6a36ded765a7249e48f3c18804ee4e8ebc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 11,780$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.49 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 1c | 5,122$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 3c | 5,095$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 5,054$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 4,309$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.67 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,596$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.66 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…81fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,219$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 20c | 1,337$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed No | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 78c | 969.23$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 936.73$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.78 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 2c | 793.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 10c | 763.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 74c | 735.64$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Yes | 3c | 717.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 23c | 707.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 662$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed No | 78c | 641.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…c01cbacked Yes | 23c | 465.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf0…6a3bbacked Yes | 24c | 456.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 433.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…8b45backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4e…f997backed Yes | 23c | 398.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…37febacked No | 78c | 361$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…3f78backed Yes | 23c | 285.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 284.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 247.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…7a5cbacked Yes | 24c | 236.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 22c | 218.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 22c | 213.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 23c | 212.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…eb08backed Yes | 12c | 209.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 23c | 200.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…a001backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…c158backed No | 78c | 174.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…4af0backed No | 77c | 161.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed No | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 79c | 152.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…647fbacked No | 77c | 150.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…114dbacked No | 78c | 150.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…c0bdbacked No | 78c | 146.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6acfbacked No | 77c | 144.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…30f9backed No | 78c | 140.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7b…7ce4backed No | 78c | 137.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Yes | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 21c | 117.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…c8d0backed No | 78c | 114.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…a659backed No | 78c | 105.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked No | 78c | 102.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 77c | 99.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…4b8abacked No | 78c | 98.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 21c | 97.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5d0fbacked No | 77c | 94.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…b9bebacked No | 78c | 81.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c596backed No | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…0670backed No | 77c | 72.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 22c | 70.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…431fbacked No | 77c | 70.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…398cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 24c | 51.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 22c | 49.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 47.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 23c | 43.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 23c | 43.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…1e33backed No | 78c | 37.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631d…02ffbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 22.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 79c | 21.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.