TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd8db…ccfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
392
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT18756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Roehampton 2: Max Basing vs Christian Langmobacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,591Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$1,840.83
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,651.77
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$5,335.97
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$566.67
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$72.47
Fritz vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$574.99
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,616Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,473.83
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$448.1
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.42
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Gentzsch (+1.5)backed Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$276.74
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53%+$633.17
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.55
Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$252.69
Keys vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$119.37
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$312.33
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834.58
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.44
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.91
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,253.91
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$774
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.02
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.87
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$389.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+146.4%+$118.83
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$458.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$126.18
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,850
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,169.35
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$675
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.25
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$237.8
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$456.75
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$387
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+48.1%+$14.93
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$400
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.3%+$783.48
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$700
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$612.9
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,739.7
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$247.14
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+118.4%+$118.48
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$377.19
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.04
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.73
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$330
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$441.98
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.3%+$199.54
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$102.7
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.1%+$171.39
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$55.74
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$450
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$810
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,560
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.7%+$650
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$630
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$367.61
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.6%+$803.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.19
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$150.37
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$333.06
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+313.2%+$379
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$432.48
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$440.55
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$391.76
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,133.28
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$98.8
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$480
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$750
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.1%+$1,589.89
Will Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$661
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.24
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,389.77
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,352.47
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,114.01
Will Donte Johnson win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$360
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$355
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$389
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,336.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.9%+$217.21
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,977Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,748.68
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.7%+$283.27
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$186.01
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.2%+$490.2
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$594
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$161.54
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,463.5
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$492.5
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$674.9
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$113.82
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.89
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$222
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,229.35
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,400
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,040
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$980.7
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150.5%+$3,010.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+185.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.7%+$455.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.7
FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$239
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.7%+$681.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.