TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,260 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over48c155,516$74,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,647.872035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c73,060$36,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,117.634,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under61c52,305$31,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,421.9510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c45,810$23,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,062.7469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over66c37,788$24,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,980.836832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over63c21,109$13,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,298.982152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under35c11,325$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,346.0690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under35c9,601$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,281.0650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c9,108$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,958.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under37c8,002$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.1964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under35c7,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5505757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over17c5,664$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.8514342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over65c4,616$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.224465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under36c4,033$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.053145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over65c3,223$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09511444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c2,451$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.3261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over45c2,065$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.773551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under65c2,052$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.3122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3209052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Over50c2,000$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under36c1,964$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.3714647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over65c1,495$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over35c1,433$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.1749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under73c1,432$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.141,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over45c1,268$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.092133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Under58c1,219$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6605563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5703040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over64c843.26$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.984742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under52c751$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.534045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under3c700$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6796512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1337719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…5f1cbacked Over30c650$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd867…2d76backed Over65c635.02$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c603.58$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4812152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over35c571.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under74c541.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.273265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over65c535.38$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over18c533.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6411839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c515.63$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c451.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8217731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over63c425.83$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over38c425.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.932045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over17c419.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.927339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under35c399.18$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9811820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over64c386.25$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c381.46$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.511,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over64c370.31$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2377855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under36c360$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over21c357.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over65c310$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.59262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over32c308.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over47c307$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.298732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.954158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under36c299.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under50c290.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9311354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…addabacked Over65c276.46$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Over25c276.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+307.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under37c268$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.841942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+389.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under34c249.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c249.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.511,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over66c248.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.891855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over40c232.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under35c230.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over65c220$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Under37c212.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c206.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11714950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over64c173.68$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.852958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under37c166.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.846464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over34c161.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2416363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.