TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a94…769c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$44.07
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+568.2%+$85.22
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$62.07
Will NK Celje win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.74
NK Celje vs. AEK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.48
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.21
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,303.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$958
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$1,521.07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$911.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$317
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,458
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.19
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$292.93
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$175.94
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$113.81
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$639.29
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.56
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55.55
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$54.19
Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$41.6
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+139%+$75.05
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$191.69
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.8
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.57
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.07
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.24
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.17
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408.2
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.07
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.48
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+94%+$228.15
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.03
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.1
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.27
VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$863.41
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.32
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.84
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.4
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.9
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$225
Karlsruher SC vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$212.29
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.1
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.35
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$50.77
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+227.1%+$53.6
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.89
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$475.33
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$564.09
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.47
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$220.82
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$164.2
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$312.86
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.18
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$29.73
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$375
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,027.54
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$201.43
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
SBV Excelsior vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.7%+$277.14
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+79.8%+$206.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.