Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeff6dc29ae068497953f7a7c6e518ac8aa90a6c436624e05e9903eb9c2899ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,853 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 40c | 49,998$19,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,998.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 40,877$23,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,765.71 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 61c | 2,545$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 58c | 2,233$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.94 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 853$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 59c | 751$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 606.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.59 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 60c | 589.61$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 569.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 507.81$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 60c | 435.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 51c | 415.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 40c | 310.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 262$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 59c | 257.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 41c | 231.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 60c | 226.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 205.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 43c | 193.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 122.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 41c | 64.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 40c | 45.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 41c | 44.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 60c | 36.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 62c | 32.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 32.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 39c | 28.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 41c | 24.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 61c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.