Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684ccf0bf3e0d9c5acd1f01f40dd88777c4ff79046dbd0e254538ada9b1a96f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AJ Auxerreof Stade Brestois 29, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Stade Brestois 29 | 6c | 1,249$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AJ Auxerre | 70c | 976.14$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stade Brestois 29 | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Stade Brestois 29 | 18c | 210$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Stade Brestois 29 | 10c | 198.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Stade Brestois 29 | 11c | 123.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Stade Brestois 29 | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Stade Brestois 29 | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Stade Brestois 29 | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…ff6dbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 30c | 54.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 40.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed AJ Auxerre | 51c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked AJ Auxerre | 72c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked AJ Auxerre | 73c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.