Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42d479d3049f1d4305cafa767d4484339d040bc81b8b266493f63dd7560eaf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 50c | 7,808$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 5,226$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,519$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 3,145$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.54 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 2,234$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.51 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 32c | 1,463$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 52c | 888.21$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 387.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 53c | 234.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 232$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…21e3backed No | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddf…8639backed Yes | 50c | 177.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 57c | 169.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…a9b9backed Yes | 50c | 168.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…9836backed No | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…fcd5backed Yes | 50c | 148.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9937backed No | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…3997backed No | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…a5d0backed Yes | 50c | 136.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…e847backed No | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…8763backed Yes | 50c | 132.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…7547backed No | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…2055backed No | 50c | 131$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…11d7backed Yes | 50c | 128.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…93f0backed Yes | 50c | 127.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…2652backed Yes | 50c | 126.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…ecf1backed No | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd288…61c7backed Yes | 50c | 125.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…39c0backed No | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…d863backed Yes | 50c | 123.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…59a3backed No | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 91.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed No | 53c | 76.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…3fefbacked Yes | 50c | 63.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 79c | 50.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 40.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 71c | 36.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 67c | 35.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 32.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 47c | 30.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 39c | 30.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 52c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 55c | 18.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 63c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…509ebacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 68c | 14.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.