TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f6a…509e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.53
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.18
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.93
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$47.22
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$21.99
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$73.59
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.61
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.19
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.97
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$200.86
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.66
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.91
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$199.88
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$108.1
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$103.26
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$79.09
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.23
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.25
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$65.19
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$53.57
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$1,607.01
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$634.04
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+204.4%+$204.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+301.6%+$211.12
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+256.8%+$179.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+102%+$15.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$10.35
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$3.51
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.9%+$30.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$12.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.