Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff1e65cc1014e985ac15ef3110ccba0efbaa2be0a70147fbd8391a8280011275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 7,214$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Under | 69c | 6,667$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 5,099$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.67 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 55c | 2,374$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 73c | 1,114$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.74 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 908.56$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.77 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 56c | 904.52$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.26 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 78c | 833.33$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 628.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 556.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 12c | 512.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 374.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 359.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 252.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 73c | 244.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 226.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 68c | 203$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 30c | 188.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 173.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Under | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 77c | 139.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 40c | 117.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 66c | 105.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 56c | 102.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 73c | 67.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…5c77backed Under | 74c | 65.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 45c | 62.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…509ebacked Over | 42c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 59.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 39c | 51.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…9ac5backed Under | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 34c | 36.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 73c | 30.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…f151backed Under | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 65c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 79c | 22.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…1375backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 73c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 72c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.