Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105e6e4609550013484e8ea7853a7d1e05c916ef31e3d2f16febade963b0c1e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,180$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 54c | 1,499$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.42 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 20c | 1,217$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 56c | 1,120$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 973.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.63 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Yes | 19c | 776.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 44c | 669.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 591.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 456.4$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 438.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 434.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 399.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 52c | 336.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 34c | 293.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 56c | 285.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 244.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 44c | 221.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 45c | 203.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 196.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 167.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 19c | 106.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 53c | 94.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 17c | 87.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 75.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 52c | 61.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 33c | 44.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 39c | 31.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 56c | 29.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed No | 62c | 26.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 54c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed No | 52c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 45c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 64c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.