TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26ce…6da3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.49
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$64.59
Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Oxford United FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$84.22
Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+86%+$108.33
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.14
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.43
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140.95
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.11
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$223.98
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$295.72
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.78
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.53
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$184.36
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$315.6
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$174.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.69
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.43
Nottingham Forest FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.73
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$307.16
Nottingham Forest FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.09
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$166.5
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.28
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$328.21
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$349.49
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$54.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$56.31
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.78
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?backed Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.86
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?backed Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+129.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+280.5%+$56.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.